GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 9/10/2024, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wrexham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Wrexham are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Salford City are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Wrexham hold a 36.7-point power-rating edge (70.5 v 33.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.5% in the EFL Trophy, while Wrexham holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Wrexham

Probability

64.5%

Model confidence

64.5%

Wrexham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WrexhamWWWDL

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Salford CityWDLDL

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
WrexhamSalford City
66.7Attack55.6
66.7Defence0.0
75.0Form33.3
70.5Power33.8
2.72xG1.23
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