GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 2/26/2025, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Peterborough · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Wrexham are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Peterborough are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Peterborough hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (70.5 v 81.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.4% in the EFL Trophy, while Peterborough holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Peterborough

Probability

47.4%

Model confidence

47.4%

Peterborough has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WrexhamWLWWW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PeterboroughWDLWL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
WrexhamPeterborough
66.7Attack75.0
66.7Defence79.2
75.0Form87.5
70.5Power81.1
1.27xG1.85
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