Wrexhamvs
Newcastle United U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 9/5/2023, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wrexham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Wrexham are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Newcastle United U21 are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Wrexham hold a 37.6-point power-rating edge (70.5 v 32.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.5% in the EFL Trophy, while Wrexham holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Wrexham
Probability
59.5%
Model confidence
59.5%
Wrexham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/2.00