GGOALVIO

England · League Two · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wrexham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Wrexham are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (DWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.75 conceded, while Milton Keynes Dons are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (LLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Wrexham hold a 9.1-point power-rating edge (63.2 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.7% in the League Two, while Wrexham holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Wrexham

Probability

57.7%

Model confidence

57.7%

Wrexham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WrexhamDWWL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.75

BTTS 2/4O2.5 3/4
Milton Keynes DonsLLDL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.75

BTTS 4/4O2.5 3/4
WrexhamMilton Keynes Dons
64.5Attack58.3
62.3Defence47.2
63.8Form54.2
63.2Power54.1
2.25xG1.17
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