Wrexhamvs
Milton Keynes Dons
COMPLETEDEngland · League Two · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wrexham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Wrexham are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (DWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.75 conceded, while Milton Keynes Dons are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (LLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Wrexham hold a 9.1-point power-rating edge (63.2 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.7% in the League Two, while Wrexham holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Wrexham
Probability
57.7%
Model confidence
57.7%
Wrexham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.75
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.75