WrexhamvsBurton Albion

Wrexham are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Burton Albion are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Wrexham hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (70.5 v 59.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.0% in the EFL Trophy, while Wrexham holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.