GGOALVIO

England · National League - South · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Worthing · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Worthing are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Tonbridge Angels are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Tonbridge Angels hold a 36.3-point power-rating edge (60.7 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.9% in the National League - South, while Worthing holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Worthing

Probability

43.9%

Model confidence

43.9%

Worthing has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WorthingDW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
Tonbridge AngelsWDWDL

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
WorthingTonbridge Angels
75.4Attack100.0
47.8Defence100.0
60.9Form100.0
60.7Power97.0
2.03xG1.64
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