Worthingvs
Solihull Moors
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Worthing · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (10%), 3-1 (9%), 4-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Worthing 5-0 Solihull Moors
Original prediction
Worthing
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.55 | 58.7% | 66.1% | 7.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.26 | 21.4% | 18.2% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 4.57 | 20.0% | 15.8% | -4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.55 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–010%
- 2.3–19%
- 3.4–09%
Predicted outcome
Worthing
Probability
66.1%
Model confidence
66.1%
Worthing has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20