Worthingvs
Ipswich Town U21
COMPLETEDEngland · National League Cup · 10/13/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Worthing · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Worthing 1-2 Ipswich Town U21
Original prediction
Worthing
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.96 | 45.8% | 40.1% | -5.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.1% | 27.6% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 2.98 | 30.1% | 32.3% | 2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Worthing
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Worthing has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80
GF 9 · GA 18 · avg 1.80/3.60