Worthingvs
FC Halifax Town
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 9/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Worthing · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Worthing 2-1 FC Halifax Town
Original prediction
Worthing
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 42.7% | 40.0% | -2.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 26.0% | 25.5% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.90 | 31.3% | 34.5% | 3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.13 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Worthing
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
Worthing has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40