GGOALVIO

England · National League · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Worthing are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Boreham Wood are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Worthing hold a 36.5-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 43.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the National League, favouring a draw with 10.7% confidence, a 59% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

23.2%

Model confidence

10.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WorthingWWLWW

GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Boreham WoodDDWWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
WorthingBoreham Wood
100.0Attack42.8
33.3Defence47.1
100.0Form37.7
80.3Power43.8
2.07xG1.10
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