Worksop Townvs
Southport
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - North · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Worksop Town · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Worksop Town 2-0 Southport
Original prediction
Worksop Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 47.3% | 41.5% | -5.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.3% | 25.6% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.43 | 26.4% | 33.0% | 6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.92 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Worksop Town
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Worksop Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00