Worksop Townvs
Oxford City
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - North · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oxford City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Worksop Town 0-1 Oxford City
Original prediction
Oxford City
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.49 | 36.4% | 27.7% | -8.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 27.7% | 25.7% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.52 | 35.9% | 46.6% | 10.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.52 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Oxford City
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
Oxford City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00