Worksop Townvs
Bedford Town
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - North · 9/8/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bedford Town · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Worksop Town 1-2 Bedford Town
Original prediction
Bedford Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.05 | 44.2% | 33.9% | -10.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 27.0% | 27.3% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.15 | 28.8% | 38.8% | 10.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.15 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Bedford Town
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Bedford Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20