Workingtonvs
Leek Town
SCHEDULEDEngland · Non League Premier - Northern · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Workington · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Workington are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Leek Town are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Leek Town hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the Non League Premier - Northern, while Workington holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Workington
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
13.8%
Workington has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20