Workingtonvs
Cleethorpes Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Northern · 10/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cleethorpes Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Workington 1-1 Cleethorpes Town
Original prediction
Cleethorpes Town
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.77 | 32.5% | 23.7% | -8.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 25.9% | 22.7% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 2.16 | 41.6% | 53.6% | 12.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.47 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.0–29%
- 3.1–18%
Predicted outcome
Cleethorpes Town
Probability
53.6%
Model confidence
53.6%
Cleethorpes Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80