GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Northern · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ashton United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Workington are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Ashton United are 1W-2D-0L in their last 3 (WDD), averaging 1.67 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ashton United hold a 68.2-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 89.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.7% in the Non League Premier - Northern, while Ashton United holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ashton United

Probability

48.7%

Model confidence

48.7%

Ashton United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WorkingtonWWWLL

GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 5/5
Ashton UnitedWDD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.67/1.33

BTTS 3/3O2.5 2/3
WorkingtonAshton United
0.0Attack83.3
50.0Defence83.3
0.0Form100.0
21.5Power89.7
1.09xG1.73
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