Worcester Cityvs
Stratford Town
COMPLETEDEngland · FA Cup · 9/18/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Worcester City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Worcester City 2-1 Stratford Town
Original prediction
Worcester City
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 06:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 47.0% | 48.9% | 1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.6% | 25.8% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.55 | 25.4% | 25.2% | -0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.91 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Worcester City
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
48.9%
Worcester City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80