Worcester Cityvs
Stourbridge
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 10/13/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stourbridge · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Worcester City 0-0 Stourbridge, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Worcester City 1-3 Stourbridge
Original prediction
Stourbridge
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.76 | 32.5% | 32.9% | 0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.0% | 30.5% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.26 | 39.6% | 36.6% | -3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.26 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.0 pts
Projected Score
Worcester City 0–0 Stourbridge
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Stourbridge
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Stourbridge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40