Worcester Cityvs
Bromsgrove Sporting
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern Central · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bromsgrove Sporting · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-1 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Worcester City 0-1 Bromsgrove Sporting
Original prediction
Bromsgrove Sporting
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.49 | 36.0% | 27.1% | -9.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 27.8% | 25.5% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.48 | 36.2% | 47.4% | 11.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Bromsgrove Sporting
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
47.4%
Bromsgrove Sporting has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00