Wollongong Wolvesvs
South Hobart
COMPLETEDAustralia · Australian Championship · 10/25/2026, 4:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wollongong Wolves · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wollongong Wolves 2-0 South Hobart
Original prediction
Wollongong Wolves
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.39 | 65.6% | 41.7% | -23.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.80 | 19.0% | 25.7% | 6.7 pts |
| Away | 5.91 | 15.4% | 32.6% | 17.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-23.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Wollongong Wolves
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
Wollongong Wolves has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60