GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 3/15/2026, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Wollongong Wolves are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while NWS Spirit are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and NWS Spirit hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (45.7 v 48.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the New South Wales NPL, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.2%

Model confidence

36.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Wollongong WolvesWLLWL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
NWS SpiritWWLLW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Wollongong WolvesNWS Spirit
37.0Attack41.7
53.1Defence56.0
39.5Form44.0
45.7Power48.0
1.05xG1.09
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