GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 2/17/2023, 8:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Marconi Stallions · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Wollongong Wolves are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 2.50 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Marconi Stallions are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Marconi Stallions hold a 20.5-point power-rating edge (47.0 v 67.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.5% in the New South Wales NPL, while Marconi Stallions holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Marconi Stallions

Probability

55.5%

Model confidence

55.5%

Marconi Stallions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Wollongong WolvesWD

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 2.50/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
Marconi StallionsWL

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
Wollongong WolvesMarconi Stallions
38.1Attack57.1
53.6Defence75.0
41.7Form69.0
47.0Power67.5
0.65xG1.56
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