Wollongong Wolvesvs
Manly United
COMPLETEDAustralia · New South Wales NPL · 8/30/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wollongong Wolves · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wollongong Wolves 0-4 Manly United
Original prediction
Wollongong Wolves
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.44 | 37.1% | 37.1% | 0.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 26.9% | 27.7% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.51 | 36.0% | 35.1% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Wollongong Wolves
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
Wollongong Wolves has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20