Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Friday, 17 July 2026Last updated 10:04
Wolfsberger AC

Wolfsberger AC

Home
WDW
61
Full time
SV Kapfenberg

SV Kapfenberg

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Wolfsberger AC50%
Draw35%
SV Kapfenberg15%
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction correct— Result: Wolfsberger AC
Win probability
Wolfsberger AC
50%
Draw
35%
SV Kapfenberg
15%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Wolfsberger AC
100
SV Kapfenberg
34
Defence
Wolfsberger AC
53
SV Kapfenberg
0
Momentum
Wolfsberger AC
78
SV Kapfenberg
0
Danger (xG)
Wolfsberger AC
4.50
SV Kapfenberg
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.77 xG for Wolfsberger AC and 1.40 xG for SV Kapfenberg — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.37), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 3.17 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.

xG for (Wolfsberger AC)
4.50
avg per match
xG for (SV Kapfenberg)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Wolfsberger AC)
1.20
avg per match
xG against (SV Kapfenberg)
5.40
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger AC
WDWWW
SV KapfenbergSV Kapfenberg
LD

Probability breakdown

51% confidence
Wolfsberger AC50%
Draw35%
SV Kapfenberg15%

Wolfsberger AC leads with 50% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Wolfsberger AC Backed to Win — Model Projects 2-1

Wolfsberger AC take on SV Kapfenberg in Friendlies Clubs.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 1.77 for Wolfsberger AC and 1.40 for SV Kapfenberg. The gap of 0.37 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: null have won 4 of their last 10 matches — a run of form the model acknowledges but cannot fully override. If null carry that momentum into this fixture and score first, the upset probability rises significantly above what the headline verdict suggests.

Risk factors

  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Head to head

Wolfsberger AC 1Draws 00 SV Kapfenberg
Avg goals: 7.0BTTS in 1/1
17 Jul 2026
Wolfsberger AC
W61
SV Kapfenberg

Recent form

Wolfsberger AC

Wolfsberger AC

W
vs SV Kapfenberg
17 Jul 2026
61
D
vs Hradec Králové
13 Jul 2026
11
W
vs Admira Wacker
3 Jul 2026
82
W
@ Železničar Pančevo
30 Jun 2026
20
W
vs WSG Wattens
16 May 2026
20
SV Kapfenberg

SV Kapfenberg

L
@ Wolfsberger AC
17 Jul 2026
16
D
@ Austria Vienna (Am)
14 May 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Wolfsberger AC vs SV Kapfenberg?

GoalVio's model predicts Wolfsberger AC to win with 51% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Wolfsberger AC vs SV Kapfenberg?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Wolfsberger AC vs SV Kapfenberg?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Wolfsberger AC vs SV Kapfenberg?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more