GGOALVIO

Austria · Bundesliga · 9/1/2026, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lask Linz · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Wolfsberger AC 1-3 Lask Linz

Original prediction

Lask Linz

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home5.4617.1%25.6%8.4 pts
Draw4.4620.9%25.5%4.6 pts
Away1.5161.9%48.9%-13.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-13.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.0–111%
  3. 3.0–010%

Predicted outcome

Lask Linz

Probability

48.9%

Model confidence

48.9%

Lask Linz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Wolfsberger ACDLDWW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Lask LinzWWLWW

GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Wolfsberger ACLask Linz
41.7Attack100.0
75.0Defence91.7
41.7Form100.0
52.8Power97.1
1.01xG1.47
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