GGOALVIO

Austria · Bundesliga · 8/12/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wolfsberger AC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Wolfsberger AC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Austria Lustenau are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 3.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Wolfsberger AC hold a 34.7-point power-rating edge (71.2 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.5% in the Bundesliga, while Wolfsberger AC holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Wolfsberger AC

Probability

52.5%

Model confidence

52.5%

Wolfsberger AC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Wolfsberger ACDWWLW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Austria LustenauLDWLW

GF 16 · GA 10 · avg 3.20/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Wolfsberger ACAustria Lustenau
66.7Attack33.3
83.3Defence50.0
66.7Form16.7
71.2Power36.5
1.74xG0.93
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