Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wolfhagen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Wolfhagen are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Hornau are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Wolfhagen hold an 8.9-point power-rating edge (41.6 v 32.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.4% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Wolfhagen holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Wolfhagen
Probability
55.4%
Model confidence
55.4%
Wolfhagen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 4 · GA 19 · avg 0.80/3.80