Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Wolfhagen are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (WLLD), averaging 0.75 scored and 1.75 conceded, while Friedberg are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold a 31.2-point power-rating edge (41.6 v 72.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.2% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Friedberg
Probability
52.2%
Model confidence
52.2%
Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.75/1.75
GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80