Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wolfhagen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Wolfhagen are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Baunatal are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Wolfhagen hold a 12.1-point power-rating edge (41.6 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Wolfhagen holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Wolfhagen
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Wolfhagen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20