Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Wednesday, 22 July 2026Last updated 10:01
Wolfenbuttel

Wolfenbuttel

Home
D
26
Full time
Schöningen

Schöningen

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Schöningen33%
Wolfenbuttel33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Wolfenbuttel
33%
Draw
33%
Schöningen
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Wolfenbuttel
9
Schöningen
94
Defence
Wolfenbuttel
91
Schöningen
0
Momentum
Wolfenbuttel
33
Schöningen
0
Danger (xG)
Wolfenbuttel
0.00
Schöningen
2.70
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.71 xG for Wolfenbuttel and 1.46 xG for Schöningen — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.25), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.The attack-versus-defence matchup supports both teams scoring. Wolfenbuttel's Attack Score (9) exceeds Schöningen's Defensive Stability (0), and Schöningen's attack (94) similarly tests Wolfenbuttel's defence (91). Neither backline is dominant enough to prevent the other side from scoring.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 3.16 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.

xG for (Wolfenbuttel)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Schöningen)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Wolfenbuttel)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Schöningen)
4.50
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
WolfenbuttelWolfenbuttel
D
SchöningenSchöningen
L

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Wolfenbuttel33%
Draw33%
Schöningen33%

Schöningen leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Wolfenbuttel vs Schöningen: Model Points to a Closely-Fought Draw

Wolfenbuttel take on Schöningen in Friendlies Clubs.

Key factors

: 🔄 Head-to-Head Trend The last 4 meetings between these sides have averaged 5.0 goals per game — a historically high-scoring fixture that the model factors into its goal projection.

Why GoalVio backs this

Neither side carries a decisive edge in the metrics that most reliably separate teams at this level — xG creation, defensive solidity, and recent form are all closely matched. When the underlying football inputs are this evenly distributed, a draw is the most defensible projection.

Biggest risk: null have won 3 of their last 10 matches — a run of form the model acknowledges but cannot fully override. If null carry that momentum into this fixture and score first, the upset probability rises significantly above what the headline verdict suggests.

Risk factors

  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Wolfenbuttel

Wolfenbuttel

D
@ Schwarz-Weiß Rehden
17 May 2026
00
Schöningen

Schöningen

L
vs Phönix Lübeck
16 May 2026
35

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Wolfenbuttel vs Schöningen?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Wolfenbuttel vs Schöningen?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Wolfenbuttel vs Schöningen?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Wolfenbuttel vs Schöningen?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more