Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
16%
HighconfidenceWoking are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Southend are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Southend hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (47.2 v 57.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the National League, favouring a draw with 16.5% confidence, a 37% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.5%
Model confidence
16.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
WokingLLWDW
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
SouthendWDLWL
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
WokingSouthend
35.5Attack50.7
60.1Defence67.4
39.9Form54.3
47.2Power57.8
0.73xG1.16