Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Southend · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Woking 1-1 Southend
Original prediction
Southend
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.27 | 28.0% | 25.5% | -2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 27.2% | 25.0% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.05 | 44.8% | 49.5% | 4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.38 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Southend
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
49.5%
Southend has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
WokingLWLLL
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
SouthendLWWWW
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
WokingSouthend
25.0Attack66.7
33.3Defence58.3
25.0Form75.0
31.6Power68.0
1.08xG1.95