Wokingvs
Leicester City U21
COMPLETEDEngland · National League Cup · 10/13/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Woking · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Woking 2-2 Leicester City U21
Original prediction
Woking
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 50.3% | 41.2% | -9.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.74 | 24.1% | 27.6% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 3.51 | 25.6% | 31.2% | 5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.74 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Woking
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Woking has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80