GGOALVIO

England · National League · 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kidderminster Harriers · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (13%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Woking 0-0 Kidderminster Harriers

Original prediction

Kidderminster Harriers

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.2540.4%26.4%-14.0 pts
Draw3.2827.8%25.3%-2.5 pts
Away2.8631.8%48.3%16.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.28 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

16.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.0–113%
  3. 3.0–211%

Predicted outcome

Kidderminster Harriers

Probability

48.3%

Model confidence

48.3%

Kidderminster Harriers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WokingDWLDL

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Kidderminster HarriersWWWDW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
WokingKidderminster Harriers
41.7Attack54.2
50.0Defence70.8
33.3Form70.8
42.3Power66.2
0.86xG1.57
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