Wokingvs
Altrincham
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Altrincham · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Woking 5-1 Altrincham
Original prediction
Altrincham
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 41.6% | 33.2% | -8.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 27.3% | 27.7% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.94 | 31.1% | 39.1% | 8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Altrincham
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Altrincham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00