GGOALVIO

Hong-Kong · Premier League · 10/19/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wofoo Tai Po · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Wofoo Tai Po 4-2 Southern District

Original prediction

Wofoo Tai Po

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8150.1%39.9%-10.2 pts
Draw4.0322.5%23.5%1.1 pts
Away3.3127.4%36.6%9.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.81 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-10.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–19%
  2. 2.1–28%
  3. 3.2–18%

Predicted outcome

Wofoo Tai Po

Probability

39.9%

Model confidence

39.9%

Wofoo Tai Po has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Wofoo Tai PoLDWLL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Southern DistrictWLWLW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Wofoo Tai PoSouthern District
60.0Attack75.0
46.7Defence50.0
46.7Form75.0
51.9Power67.7
1.84xG1.96
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