GGOALVIO

Hong-Kong · Premier League · 10/10/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wofoo Tai Po · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Wofoo Tai Po 1-1 Kowloon City

Original prediction

Wofoo Tai Po

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.4263.5%59.1%-4.4 pts
Draw4.5819.7%20.7%1.0 pts
Away5.3316.9%20.2%3.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.58 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-4.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–19%
  2. 2.3–18%
  3. 3.1–17%

Predicted outcome

Wofoo Tai Po

Probability

59.1%

Model confidence

59.1%

Wofoo Tai Po has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Wofoo Tai PoWLLWW

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Kowloon CityLWWLL

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Wofoo Tai PoKowloon City
66.7Attack33.3
41.7Defence8.3
50.0Form25.0
53.2Power26.6
2.82xG1.32
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