GGOALVIO

Hong-Kong · Senior Shield · 10/24/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wofoo Tai Po · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Wofoo Tai Po 4-2 Kitchee

Original prediction

Wofoo Tai Po

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 03:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.7532.8%37.8%5.0 pts
Draw3.6225.0%26.4%1.4 pts
Away2.1442.2%35.8%-6.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

5.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–110%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–27%

Predicted outcome

Wofoo Tai Po

Probability

37.8%

Model confidence

37.8%

Wofoo Tai Po has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Wofoo Tai PoWLDWL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KitcheeWDWLD

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Wofoo Tai PoKitchee
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.92xG1.64
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