Wofoo Tai Povs
Home United
COMPLETEDWorld · AFC Champions League Two · 10/15/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Home United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wofoo Tai Po 0-1 Home United
Original prediction
Home United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.89 | 13.1% | 28.3% | 15.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.76 | 19.0% | 25.5% | 6.5 pts |
| Away | 1.33 | 67.9% | 46.2% | -21.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Home United
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Home United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20