GGOALVIO

Australia · Capital Territory NPL · 5/6/2023, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tuggeranong United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4

Highconfidence

Woden Vellet are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 0.33 scored and 4.67 conceded, while Tuggeranong United are 0W-0D-4L in their last 4 (LLLL), averaging 0.75 scored and 4.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Tuggeranong United hold a 48.6-point power-rating edge (11.9 v 60.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 81.9% in the Capital Territory NPL, while Tuggeranong United holds the strongest overall chance at 82% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tuggeranong United

Probability

81.9%

Model confidence

81.9%

Tuggeranong United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Woden VelletLLL

GF 1 · GA 14 · avg 0.33/4.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
Tuggeranong UnitedLLLL

GF 3 · GA 18 · avg 0.75/4.50

BTTS 3/4O2.5 4/4
Woden VelletTuggeranong United
27.0Attack82.5
0.0Defence31.6
0.0Form68.4
11.9Power60.5
1.26xG4.50
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