GGOALVIO

Australia · Capital Territory NPL · 4/22/2023, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Monaro Panthers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-4

Highconfidence

Woden Vellet are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 6.00 conceded, while Monaro Panthers are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Monaro Panthers hold a 61.0-point power-rating edge (11.9 v 72.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 88.5% in the Capital Territory NPL, while Monaro Panthers holds the strongest overall chance at 89% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Monaro Panthers

Probability

88.5%

Model confidence

88.5%

Monaro Panthers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Woden VelletLL

GF 1 · GA 12 · avg 0.50/6.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
Monaro PanthersWL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 1.50/2.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
Woden VelletMonaro Panthers
27.0Attack100.0
0.0Defence54.4
0.0Form75.4
11.9Power72.9
0.83xG4.50
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