Świt Skolwinvs
Sokół Kleczew
COMPLETEDPoland · II Liga - East · 10/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Świt Skolwin · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Świt Skolwin 2-1 Sokół Kleczew
Original prediction
Świt Skolwin
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 03:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.03 | 44.4% | 39.8% | -4.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.3% | 28.1% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 2.97 | 30.3% | 32.1% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.03 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Świt Skolwin
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Świt Skolwin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80