Świt Skolwinvs
Olimpia Grudziądz
COMPLETEDPoland · II Liga - East · 10/17/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olimpia Grudziądz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-2 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Świt Skolwin 1-1 Olimpia Grudziądz
Original prediction
Olimpia Grudziądz
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.41 | 26.3% | 20.9% | -5.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 24.4% | 21.6% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 1.82 | 49.3% | 57.5% | 8.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.67 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.0–210%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Olimpia Grudziądz
Probability
57.5%
Model confidence
57.5%
Olimpia Grudziądz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00