Świt Skolwinvs
Chojniczanka Chojnice
COMPLETEDPoland · II Liga - East · 9/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chojniczanka Chojnice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Świt Skolwin 1-5 Chojniczanka Chojnice
Original prediction
Chojniczanka Chojnice
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.02 | 29.8% | 35.0% | 5.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.6% | 26.9% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.01 | 44.6% | 38.1% | -6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.01 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Chojniczanka Chojnice
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Chojniczanka Chojnice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60