Wisłoka Dębicavs
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 4 · 10/2/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wisłoka Dębica · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wisłoka Dębica 2-1 Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
Original prediction
Wisłoka Dębica
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.24 | 40.3% | 63.5% | 23.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.3% | 20.1% | -6.2 pts |
| Away | 2.71 | 33.4% | 16.3% | -17.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
23.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Wisłoka Dębica
Probability
63.5%
Model confidence
63.5%
Wisłoka Dębica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40