GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 4 · 9/6/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Podlasie Biała Podlaska · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Wisłoka Dębica 1-0 Podlasie Biała Podlaska

Original prediction

Podlasie Biała Podlaska

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.5635.2%35.1%-0.0 pts
Draw3.3826.7%28.5%1.9 pts
Away2.3638.2%36.3%-1.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-1.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–014%
  3. 3.0–112%

Predicted outcome

Podlasie Biała Podlaska

Probability

36.3%

Model confidence

36.3%

Podlasie Biała Podlaska has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Wisłoka DębicaLLLWW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Podlasie Biała PodlaskaDLWWD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Wisłoka DębicaPodlasie Biała Podlaska
38.9Attack27.8
50.0Defence72.2
38.9Form44.4
44.6Power50.2
1.04xG1.05
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