Wisłoka Dębicavs
Korona Kielce II
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 4 · 9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wisłoka Dębica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wisłoka Dębica 1-0 Korona Kielce II
Original prediction
Wisłoka Dębica
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 50.6% | 50.3% | -0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.81 | 23.6% | 20.5% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 3.48 | 25.8% | 29.2% | 3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Wisłoka Dębica
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
50.3%
Wisłoka Dębica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 11 · GA 14 · avg 2.20/2.80