GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 10/2/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wisla Plock · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Wisla Plock 3-1 Unia Skierniewice

Original prediction

Wisla Plock

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 09:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6455.4%48.8%-6.6 pts
Draw3.9123.2%25.7%2.6 pts
Away4.2421.4%25.4%4.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.64 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-6.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.2–09%

Predicted outcome

Wisla Plock

Probability

48.8%

Model confidence

48.8%

Wisla Plock has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Wisla PlockWWDWL

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Unia SkierniewiceDWLLW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Wisla PlockUnia Skierniewice
54.5Attack50.0
60.6Defence33.3
60.6Form50.0
59.2Power47.8
2.08xG1.13
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