Wisla Plockvs
Radomiak Radom
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 10/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wisla Plock · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wisla Plock 1-0 Radomiak Radom
Original prediction
Wisla Plock
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.85 | 50.0% | 56.7% | 6.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 25.1% | 22.9% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 3.72 | 24.9% | 20.4% | -4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.85 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Wisla Plock
Probability
56.7%
Model confidence
56.7%
Wisla Plock has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40