GGOALVIO

Poland · I Liga · 8/4/2023, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wisla Plock · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Wisla Plock are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Lechia Gdansk are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Wisla Plock hold a 31.7-point power-rating edge (51.6 v 19.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.9% in the I Liga, while Wisla Plock holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Wisla Plock

Probability

54.9%

Model confidence

54.9%

Wisla Plock has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Wisla PlockDDWDD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 0/5
Lechia GdanskLWDLL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Wisla PlockLechia Gdansk
45.1Attack22.2
54.9Defence11.1
50.0Form11.1
51.6Power19.9
1.86xG0.95
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