Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Friday, 17 July 2026Last updated 12:33
Wisla Plock

Wisla Plock

Home
WW
30
Full time
ŁKS Łódź

ŁKS Łódź

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

ŁKS Łódź33%
Wisla Plock33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction correct— Result: Wisla Plock
Win probability
Wisla Plock
33%
Draw
33%
ŁKS Łódź
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Wisla Plock
86
ŁKS Łódź
9
Defence
Wisla Plock
91
ŁKS Łódź
6
Momentum
Wisla Plock
100
ŁKS Łódź
0
Danger (xG)
Wisla Plock
2.25
ŁKS Łódź
0.00
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.54 xG for Wisla Plock and 1.12 xG for ŁKS Łódź — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.42), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 2.66 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.The defensive profiles of both sides are stronger than their attacking counterparts — Wisla Plock's Defensive Stability (91) and ŁKS Łódź's (6) both suggest teams capable of limiting the opposition. When both defences are this organised, the model expects a lower-scoring environment.

xG for (Wisla Plock)
2.25
avg per match
xG for (ŁKS Łódź)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Wisla Plock)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (ŁKS Łódź)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Wisla PlockWisla Plock
WWL
ŁKS ŁódźŁKS Łódź
LD

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Wisla Plock33%
Draw33%
ŁKS Łódź33%

ŁKS Łódź leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Wisla Plock Backed to Win — Model Projects 2-1

Wisla Plock take on ŁKS Łódź in Friendlies Clubs.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 1.54 for Wisla Plock and 1.12 for ŁKS Łódź. The gap of 0.42 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: null have won 5 of their last 10 matches — a run of form the model acknowledges but cannot fully override. If null carry that momentum into this fixture and score first, the upset probability rises significantly above what the headline verdict suggests.

Risk factors

  • The head-to-head record is competitive — the underdog has won 6 of the last 7 meetings.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Head to head

Wisla Plock 1Draws 00 ŁKS Łódź
Avg goals: 3.0
17 Jul 2026
Wisla Plock
W30
ŁKS Łódź

Recent form

Wisla Plock

Wisla Plock

W
vs ŁKS Łódź
17 Jul 2026
30
W
vs Bohemians 1905
14 Jul 2026
20
L
vs Gornik Zabrze
16 May 2026
01
ŁKS Łódź

ŁKS Łódź

L
@ Wisla Plock
17 Jul 2026
03
D
@ Slask Wroclaw
11 May 2026
22

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Wisla Plock vs ŁKS Łódź?

GoalVio's model predicts Wisla Plock to win with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Wisla Plock vs ŁKS Łódź?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Wisla Plock vs ŁKS Łódź?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Wisla Plock vs ŁKS Łódź?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more